Presenter Bios

Dr Nyaupane is Associate Professor at Arizona State University. He is on the editorial board of six tourism journals, including Annals of Tourism Research and Journal of Travel Research. His research focuses on the linkages of communities, public lands and sustainable tourism; and tourist behaviors and attitudes. He has extensive research experience in the fields of ecotourism, sustainable tourism, heritage tourism and community development, and published one co-edited book, and more than 50 peer-reviewed papers and book chapters. He has conducted research for many government agencies, tourism industry sectors, and international conservation organizations.

Dr. Christine Buzinde is an associate professor at Arizona State University. Her research centers on the use of tourism as a tool for empowerment and well-being, particularly within marginalized communities. She focuses on evaluations of parameters indicative of advancements (or lack thereof) related to community well-being. Christine has conducted research within communities in Tanzania, Mexico, India, and the United States. Christine has published numerous articles in tourism studies, geographical, and cultural studies journals.

Abstract

This paper uses scenario planning as a tool to identify key external drivers, build plausible scenarios, and develop policies and strategies. Drawing on Bureau of Land Management (BLM) Arizona as a case study, the purpose of this study was to develop a systematic scenario planning process that helps the agency in preparation for uncertainties. Two scenario workshops were conducted to cover a wide range of social and natural resource related issues. Various expert participants from universities, agencies, and community stakeholder groups were invited to participate and engage in scenario planning activities. The study developed plausible scenarios as well as policies and strategies for each scenario. The paper discusses methodological and practical implications.

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Scenario Planning: A Planning Tool for an Uncertain Future

This paper uses scenario planning as a tool to identify key external drivers, build plausible scenarios, and develop policies and strategies. Drawing on Bureau of Land Management (BLM) Arizona as a case study, the purpose of this study was to develop a systematic scenario planning process that helps the agency in preparation for uncertainties. Two scenario workshops were conducted to cover a wide range of social and natural resource related issues. Various expert participants from universities, agencies, and community stakeholder groups were invited to participate and engage in scenario planning activities. The study developed plausible scenarios as well as policies and strategies for each scenario. The paper discusses methodological and practical implications.