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A THEORETICAL RATIONALIZATION OF A GOAL-ORIENTED SYSTEMS APPROACH TO BUILDING FIRE SAFETY.

JOHN MORTON WATTS, University of Massachusetts Amherst

Abstract

The Goal Oriented Systems Approach to Building Fire Safety developed by the U.S. General Services Administration is presently the only probabilistic methodology for fire protection evaluation in use in the United States. This paper describes and analyzes the GSA approach and formulates a more scientific procedure by synthesizing GSA concepts with additional probability theory. Discussion of systems analysis and modeling concepts emphasizes the need for probabilistic considerations of fire safety. The revised model, identified by the hyphenated expression Goal-Oriented, simplifies data requirements through parameter estimation techniques. The new approach is consistant with the GSA model for several example cases. Facility for sensitivity analysis of alternative fire protection strategies is a demonstrated advantage of the new methodology.

Subject Area

Operations research

Recommended Citation

WATTS, JOHN MORTON, "A THEORETICAL RATIONALIZATION OF A GOAL-ORIENTED SYSTEMS APPROACH TO BUILDING FIRE SAFETY." (1978). Doctoral Dissertations Available from Proquest. AAI7820388.
https://scholarworks.umass.edu/dissertations/AAI7820388

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