We conducted a series of volitional trials with wild-caught resident coastal cutthroat trout Oncorhynchus clarki clarki in a 12.2 m long, 1.8 m diameter culvert test facility to develop a probabilistic model for predicting rates of upstream passage over a wide range of average velocities. Results of passage trials indicated that the percentage of fish attempting passage and percentage of fish successfully passing decreased as the trial target average velocity increased. At our highest trial average velocity of 2.4 m∙s-1, 31% of test fish that chose to attempt passage passed after two nights of observation. Passage performance was generally better for larger fish, but this pattern was only statistically significant for a single trial (1.9 m∙s-1). Fish ascended through the pipe more quickly as velocity increased. At higher test velocities fish favored the left side of the pipe (looking downstream), which contained a reduced velocity zone created by the slightly oblique orientation of culvert corrugations. Our data provide the basis for a logistic model describing the probability of passage for cutthroat trout through bare corrugated metal culverts with no outlet drop. Empirical studies testing fish passage such as this one can inform culvert assessment protocols currently in use.