Predictors of Contemporary under-5 Child Mortality in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Machine Learning Approach
Journal or Book Title
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
Child Mortality (CM) is a worldwide concern, annually affecting as many as 6.81% children in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC). We used data of the Multiple Indicators Cluster Survey (MICS) (N = 275,160) from 27 LMIC and a machine-learning approach to rank 37 distal causes of CM and identify the top 10 causes in terms of predictive potency. Based on the top 10 causes, we identified households with improved conditions. We retrospectively validated the results by investigating the association between variations of CM and variations of the percentage of households with improved conditions at country-level, between the 2005–2007 and the 2013–2017 administrations of the MICS. A unique contribution of our approach is to identify lesser-known distal causes which likely account for better-known proximal causes: notably, the identified distal causes and preventable and treatable through social, educational, and physical interventions. We demonstrate how machine learning can be used to obtain operational information from big dataset to guide interventions and policy makers.
Disease Prediction, Machine Learning, and Healthcare
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Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Bizzego, Andrea; Gabrieli, Giulio; Bornstein, Marc H.; Deater-Deckard, Kirby; Lansford, Jennifer E.; Bradley, Robert H.; Costa, Megan; and Esposito, Gianluca, "Predictors of Contemporary under-5 Child Mortality in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Machine Learning Approach" (2021). International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 43.