Publication:
The FIH and the Paradox of Debt: A Microeconometric Approach for Latin America

dc.contributor.authorGonzález, Alejandro
dc.contributor.authorPerez-Caldentey, Esteban
dc.contributor.departmentUniversidad de Chile
dc.contributor.departmentUnited Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean
dc.date2023-09-24T07:56:39.000
dc.date.accessioned2024-04-26T20:00:37Z
dc.date.available2024-04-26T20:00:37Z
dc.date.issued2016-12-01
dc.description.abstractHyman Minsky’s financial instability hypothesis (FIH) argues that as part of the normal functioning of capitalist economies robust financial structures tend to evolve into highly leveraged fragile financial structures. The paradox of debt challenges the very foundation of Minsky’s FIH as it sustains that upward and downward phases of the business cycles need not be characterized by processes of respective leveraging and deleveraging. Using a panel of firm-level data and seemingly unrelated regressions we analyze the relationship between debt and investment for twelve Latin American countries for the years 2005 (expansion) and 2009 (contraction). We reject the Paradox of Debt in favor of the FIH, regardless of our model specification or the choice of external financing. The FIH seems to intensify in expansions with respect to recessions, and its intensification during expansions is explained by a larger fraction of firms acquiring debt and new investment projects, rather than from further leveraging for those firms already engaged in fixed investment.
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.7275/27437094
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14394/40112
dc.relation.urlhttps://scholarworks.umass.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1301&context=peri_workingpapers&unstamped=1
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
dc.source.issue435
dc.source.statuspublished
dc.subjectMinsky
dc.subjectparadox of debt
dc.subjectLatin America
dc.subjectEconomics
dc.titleThe FIH and the Paradox of Debt: A Microeconometric Approach for Latin America
dc.typearticle
dc.typearticle
digcom.contributor.authorGonzález, Alejandro
digcom.contributor.authorPerez-Caldentey, Esteban
digcom.identifierperi_workingpapers/300
digcom.identifier.contextkey27437094
digcom.identifier.submissionpathperi_workingpapers/300
dspace.entity.typePublication
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