Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Publication

A Note on the Theory and Empirics of the Goodwin Model

Citations
Altmetric:
Abstract
I discuss some theoretical and empirical points about the Goodwin model. First, I offer a simple proof that solution trajectories around the stable critical point in the Goodwin model are closed orbits but not limit cycles. Moreover, in a neighborhood of the stable critical point, the closed orbits are ellipses. Second, I compare the predictions of the Goodwin model with patterns observed in actual annual data for the U.S. economy for the period 1950-2019. I find that the predictions of the model regarding three key aspects of cycles-the amplitude, time period and the direction of motion-are fully or partially at variance with observed data.
Type
Working Paper
Date
2024
Publisher
Degree
Advisors
License
License
Research Projects
Organizational Units
Journal Issue
Embargo Lift Date
DOI
Publisher Version
Embedded videos
Related Item(s)